Every Breakthrough Costs Someone Money

Ask the Candidate · May 14, 2026
"With each significant breakthrough, it will be financially bad for some group. Energy abundance is bad for Big Oil. Cures are bad for Big Pharma if they profit from treatment. Cheaper housing is bad if your wealth is in real estate. Apart from UBI — what happens when breakthroughs threaten the wealthy and powerful? How do we prevent them from throttling progress? How do we get from Point A to Point B?"
From the Discord

This is the question behind every other policy question. The answer to "why don't we have nice things" is almost always "because someone powerful profits from the current arrangement."

You named the three clearest examples. Let me add the mechanism, because the mechanism is the same every time.

How throttling works

The pattern has four steps. It repeats across every industry you named.

Step 1: Regulatory capture. The industry being disrupted funds the campaigns of the legislators who write the rules. Those legislators write rules that protect the incumbent and disadvantage the disruptor. This is not conspiracy — it is documented, legal, and the subject of the government integrity answer I wrote last week. The fossil fuel industry spent $124 million on lobbying in 2024. Pharmaceutical companies spent more. The return on that investment is regulatory protection — rules that make it harder for competitors, longer approval timelines for alternatives, subsidies that flow to the incumbent technology.

Step 2: Information warfare. Fund doubt. The tobacco industry did it for fifty years — not by proving cigarettes were safe, but by funding enough contradictory research to maintain the appearance of scientific uncertainty. The fossil fuel industry adopted the same playbook. ExxonMobil's own scientists confirmed climate change in the 1980s. The company spent the next thirty years funding organizations that questioned it. The goal is never to win the argument. The goal is to make the argument seem unresolved long enough to delay action.

Step 3: Lock-in. Build infrastructure that makes switching expensive. Pipelines. Refineries. Supply chains. Billing systems. Mortgage-backed securities. The bigger the installed base, the more expensive the transition, and the more politically dangerous it becomes to advocate for it. This is why energy transitions take decades even when the economics favor the new technology — the old technology has physical infrastructure in the ground and political infrastructure in the legislature.

Step 4: Capture the transition. When the breakthrough becomes inevitable, the incumbent doesn't fight it — they acquire it. Oil companies buy solar companies. Pharmaceutical companies acquire biotech startups. Real estate developers lobby for "affordable housing" programs that route public money through their existing business model. The disruptor gets absorbed. The power structure survives with a new label.

How to break the pattern

You asked how to get from Point A to Point B. The honest answer: there is no single mechanism. But there are structural interventions that change the odds.

Remove the money from the regulation. Everything I said in the constitutional convention answer applies here. As long as the industries being disrupted fund the campaigns of the people who write the rules, the rules will protect the incumbents. Public financing of elections. Reverse Citizens United. Ban lobbying by former legislators. This does not eliminate corporate influence — it reduces the direct pipeline from corporate treasury to legislative outcome.

Fund the disruptors directly. The government funded the internet (DARPA), GPS (military), mRNA vaccine technology (NIH), and solar cell development (DOE). Public investment in breakthrough technology — before the market is ready to support it — is the single most effective countermeasure to incumbent throttling. The incumbent controls the existing market. Public R&D creates the next one. The key: fund the research, then make the results public. Do not let the public pay for the breakthrough and then let a private company lock it behind a patent wall.

Antitrust enforcement with teeth. When the incumbent's strategy is "acquire the disruptor," antitrust enforcement is the countermeasure. The US had aggressive antitrust enforcement from the 1930s through the 1970s. It weakened sharply under the Bork doctrine (1978) — which redefined antitrust around consumer prices rather than market power. Under that framework, a monopolist can acquire every competitor as long as prices don't rise. That framework was designed to enable exactly the consolidation you're describing. Restore the original standard: antitrust should prevent concentrations of market power, not just price increases.

Build the transition infrastructure before it's needed. The reason energy transitions take decades is that the old infrastructure exists and the new infrastructure doesn't. The government can build the new infrastructure — charging networks, grid upgrades, manufacturing capacity — the way it built the interstate highway system. Not as subsidy for private companies. As public infrastructure that makes the transition possible for everyone, including the communities whose economies depend on the old technology.

Protect the workers, not the industry. The coal miner is not the same as the coal company. The pharmaceutical sales rep is not the same as the pharmaceutical executive. When a breakthrough disrupts an industry, the people who lose their jobs deserve transition support — retraining, income support, relocation assistance. The company that was profiting from the old arrangement does not deserve protection from competition. This distinction collapses constantly in political rhetoric. "Protecting American energy jobs" becomes "subsidizing fossil fuel corporations." They are not the same thing.

Point A to Point B

The honest answer to "how do we get there" is: slowly, and against resistance, and only if enough people demand it.

Every breakthrough you described — energy abundance, disease cures, affordable housing — is technically achievable. The obstacles are not engineering problems. They are power problems. The people who benefit from the current arrangement have more resources, more lobbyists, and more patience than the people who would benefit from the new one. The transition happens when the political cost of blocking it exceeds the political cost of allowing it. That tipping point is created by people — voters, organizers, candidates, communities — who make the cost of inaction visible.

That is what the /challenge page on this site is for. That is what this campaign is for. Not to wait for 2028. To make the cost of inaction visible now.

Plank V: Listen to the Quiet People First. The quiet people in this story are not the incumbents. The incumbents are the loudest voices in every room. The quiet people are the ones who would benefit from the breakthrough but have no lobbyist, no PAC, and no seat at the table where the rules are written. The breakthroughs don't get throttled because the science fails. They get throttled because the people who need them most have the least power to demand them.

— c.
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